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Highlight for How Tech Innovation Happens: Some Global Exemplars for India

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How Tech Innovation Happens: Some Global Exemplars for India

What gives rise to a knowledge economy? And how does it create wealth? There are some common misconceptions, or ideas that are at best partial truths, in relation to this. One such idea is the notion that innovation happens when governments withdraw and allow market forces, as well as a developed system of venture capital and private equity, to blaze away. The latter do have their role to play, but will be ineffective if the government does not do its bit as well. Another way of putting this is that radical innovation and technological breakthroughs do not happen without an element of “industrial policy”, a bad word in some economists’ lexicon. The best example of this is how China, once known for goods manufactured with low-cost industrial labour, has leapfrogged technologically to make, in many sectors, the world’s most sophisticated products. Forced technology transfers, or intellectual property theft, do not tell the whole story. Following the Chinese cultural revolution of the 1960s, when Chairman Mao sent scientists to work cleaning pigsties in Chinese villages, China turned on a dime and invested heavily in science and technology. President Xi Jinping built on this with his “Made in China 2025” programme announced a decade back. The programme is essentially an industrial policy designed to catapult China into pole position in a raft of high-tech sectors. Take electric vehicles or solar cells. It is said that Chinese exports today hinge on “the new three” – electric vehicles, lithium-ion batteries and solar cells – taking the place of “the old three” – clothing, home appliances and furniture. Come 2025, and “Made in China 2025” has largely succeeded in its goals. China now controls an estimated 80% of the global photovoltaic solar cell production supply chain, having managed to cut solar panel prices by 88%

Highlight for The Coming Economic Upheaval: How India Can Cope

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The Coming Economic Upheaval: How India Can Cope

President Trump has ushered in upheaval in the global order, in interlinked economic and geopolitical domains. By saying he will impose reciprocal tariffs on all countries – he has also singled out India as a country that imposes high tariffs – Trump has effectively pulled the plug on the World Trade Organization (WTO). Trade arrangements will no longer be multilateral, but bilateral or plurilateral. Powerful countries like the United States (US) or China would prefer all of them to be bilateral, which allows them to exert the maximum pressure on other countries. A reciprocal tariff would also do away with another cardinal principle of international trade that was enshrined in WTO – that of “special and differential treatment” of developing countries such as India, giving them space to develop their infant industries. One of the outcomes of Prime Minister Modi’s meeting with President Trump in Washington was an agreement to carve out a bilateral trade agreement by “fall of 2025”. Those are tight timelines, and Trump is unlikely to take “no” for an answer. He has also reiterated after meeting PM Modi what he had said before: that his administration will “soon” impose reciprocal tariffs on countries such as India. What are India’s options, if Washington imposes trade terms Delhi is unable to agree to? The problem is that in international trade, Delhi is between a rock and a hard place. China, too, cocks a snook at WTO rules when it chooses to, as when it abruptly cut off imports from Lithuania when the latter caused it some minor political offence. India too has been a victim of Chinese trade practices, as China imports very little from India other than raw materials. Chinese companies do not seem driven by conventional profit motives as their aim instead is to capture as

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